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Essential guides
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01Stocks and sharesBegin with ownership, portfolios and the everyday building blocks of investing.6 guides
What is a stock or share?
A share is a small piece of ownership in a company. A stock is the same basic idea, especially in American usage.
beginner · 4 minRead guideStocks
Stocks are the asset class made up of tradable company shares. The plural describes many possible ownership interests rather than the single ownership unit explained by a share.
beginner · 3 minRead guideWhat is a portfolio?
A portfolio is the complete set of investments and cash considered together. Its behaviour depends on each holding's weight and on how the holdings move in relation to one another.
beginner · 3 minRead guideDividends
A dividend is a distribution a company chooses to make to eligible shareholders, usually from available cash. It transfers value out of the company and is not an extra return created from nothing.
beginner · 3 minRead guideAsset allocation
Asset allocation is the decision about how much of a portfolio belongs in broad exposure groups such as shares, bonds and cash. It sets the portfolio's main sources of risk and return.
beginner · 3 minRead guidePortfolio rebalancing
Rebalancing returns a portfolio towards its intended allocation after market moves or cash flows change the weights. It is a risk-control process, not a promise to improve returns.
intermediate · 3 minRead guide02Earnings and company resultsUnderstand the result, the expectation and why the share price can react differently.6 guides
What happens when a company reports earnings?
An earnings report is a regular update on what a listed company sold, earned and expects next.
beginner · 4 minRead guideRevenue
Revenue is the amount recognised from selling goods or services before related operating costs are deducted. Recognition rules determine when activity enters the income statement.
beginner · 3 minRead guideProfit
Profit is what remains after defined revenues and expenses are matched for an accounting period. Different profit measures stop at different layers, so the label needs a definition.
beginner · 3 minRead guideEarnings per share
Earnings per share, or EPS, allocates a defined profit attributable to ordinary shareholders across a weighted share count. Diluted EPS also reflects specified potential shares.
intermediate · 3 minRead guideCompany guidance
Company guidance is management's stated expectation or range for future performance under current assumptions. It updates the information set but remains a forecast, not a commitment.
beginner · 3 minRead guideAnalyst estimates
Analyst estimates are forecasts for company measures such as revenue or earnings. A consensus combines selected forecasts, but dispersion and update timing reveal information hidden by the average.
beginner · 3 minRead guide03OptionsLearn the movement, probability and execution ideas that options build upon.6 guides
Options basics
An option is a time-limited contract giving its buyer a right, but not an obligation, under defined terms. Calls relate to buying the underlying; puts relate to selling it.
intermediate · 3 minRead guideWhat does volatility actually mean?
Volatility describes how widely and quickly prices move, not whether an investment is good or bad.
beginner · 4 minRead guideProbability
Probability represents uncertainty on a scale from impossible to certain under a defined model or evidence base. It describes possible outcomes, not a hidden guarantee about one event.
beginner · 3 minRead guideWhat is the bid/ask spread?
The bid is the best current buying price. The ask is the best current selling price. The gap is the spread.
beginner · 4 minRead guideExpected value
Expected value is the probability-weighted average of possible outcomes under a model. It describes the long-run centre of that model, not what must happen next.
intermediate · 3 minRead guideMarket liquidity
Market liquidity is the ability to trade a useful quantity promptly without moving the price greatly. It depends on size, cost, speed and current market conditions.
beginner · 3 minRead guide04How Tradour and BSP workSee how directions, strength, outcomes and evidence states fit together.6 guides
What is a Tradour directional feature?
A Tradour directional feature records how a source labelled an expected move. It is research data, not an instruction to trade.
beginner · 4 minRead guideIndicator count
Indicator count records how many source indicators contributed to an observation under the BSP convention. It is a descriptive feature, not a validated confidence score.
beginner · 3 minRead guideRise/Drop strength
Rise/Drop strength is a source-provided feature describing the degree attached to a directional label under its own convention. Tradour does not treat it as calibrated probability.
beginner · 3 minRead guideHistorical and prospective evidence
Historical evidence examines outcomes already known to the archive; prospective evidence freezes a record before the outcome exists. The second protects against hindsight in a way replay cannot.
beginner · 3 minRead guideDisplayed and raw direction
Raw direction is the source label before transformation; displayed direction is the label after the documented presentation rule. Tradour keeps both so inversion cannot become hidden interpretation.
intermediate · 3 minRead guideProspective validation
Prospective validation tests a frozen candidate on future qualifying observations recorded before outcomes. It adds evidence without allowing the rule to learn from the answers being scored.
intermediate · 3 minRead guide05The BSP PlaybookFollow an idea from first pattern to a rule that can face a fair forward test.6 guides
The Tradour evidence lifecycle
The Tradour evidence lifecycle keeps exploratory, candidate, validated, Playbook and prospective states distinct. Movement requires explicit evidence and review rather than persuasive presentation.
beginner · 3 minRead guideWhat does Exploratory mean?
Exploratory means a pattern was observed while questions, cohorts or thresholds were still being examined. It is useful for forming hypotheses but already exposed to selection.
beginner · 3 minRead guideWhat is the Tradour Playbook?
The Tradour Playbook is the governed home for findings that meet the required evidence and publication state. Ideas being tested remain clearly separate from established entries.
beginner · 3 minRead guideWhat is a canonical outcome?
A canonical outcome is the versioned primary measure Tradour approves for a research question. It fixes timing, calendar, price fields, horizon, direction and edge cases before comparison.
intermediate · 3 minRead guideHow a finding becomes more credible
A finding becomes more credible as its definition, data, effect, uncertainty, robustness, independence and prospective performance withstand separate checks. No single percentage supplies credibility.
intermediate · 3 minRead guideWhat is a research cohort?
A research cohort is the set of observations that meet a frozen inclusion rule for a question. Its boundary determines which population the result can describe.
beginner · 3 minRead guide06Risk, returns and market mechanicsMake sense of gains, losses, price movement and how trades actually meet.6 guides
What does investment risk mean?
Investment risk is the possibility that outcomes differ from what is needed or expected, including permanent loss, shortfall, illiquidity and uncomfortable variation. No single number captures every form.
beginner · 3 minRead guideInvestment returns
Investment return is the change in value over a period, including relevant income and costs under a stated convention. The period, cash flows and currency determine the calculation.
beginner · 3 minRead guideWhat does volatility actually mean?
Volatility describes how widely and quickly prices move, not whether an investment is good or bad.
beginner · 4 minRead guideWhat is diversification?
Diversification spreads exposure so that one company, sector or risk does not decide the whole result.
beginner · 4 minRead guideDrawdowns
A drawdown is the decline from a previous peak to a later value before a new peak is reached. It describes experienced loss from the high-water mark, not return from the original start.
beginner · 3 minRead guideMarket liquidity
Market liquidity is the ability to trade a useful quantity promptly without moving the price greatly. It depends on size, cost, speed and current market conditions.
beginner · 3 minRead guideWhat do I need to know to trade…?
Follow a practical learning path
Each path begins with six carefully ordered foundations, then opens the full route.
What should I know to trade earnings?
The reporting clock, expectations, surprises and why a market reaction is relative rather than absolute.
- What happens when a company reports earnings?
- Revenue
- Profit
- Earnings per share
- Company guidance
- Analyst estimates
What should I know to trade options?
Volatility, probability, leverage and execution foundations before the option contract itself.
- What is the bid/ask spread?
- Market orders
- Limit orders
- Market liquidity
- Options basics
- What does volatility actually mean?
What should I know to trade FX?
Two-sided prices, exchange-rate risk and the economic forces that can change one currency against another.
- What is the bid/ask spread?
- Currency risk
- Inflation
- Interest rates
- Central banks
- Economic growth
What should I know to explore value investing?
Price, business quality, cash generation and the reasons a low-looking valuation may be deserved.
- What is a P/E ratio?
- What does valuation mean?
- Book value
- Price-to-book ratio
- Free cash flow
- Company debt
What should I know to explore growth investing?
Revenue, margins, expectations and valuation before treating a fast-growing business as a good investment.
- Revenue
- Profit margins
- Earnings per share
- What does valuation mean?
- Company guidance
- Analyst estimates
What should I know to trade commodities?
The asset, contract, economic forces and risk mechanics behind commodity markets.
- Futures basics
- What does volatility actually mean?
- Leverage
- Position sizing
- Inflation
- Interest rates
Deeper understanding
Build the ideas around the thing you came for.
These connected collections fill in the company, market, risk, evidence and economic context that turns one definition into practical understanding.
Complete library
Browse all guides without the overwhelm
Search ordinary words or technical terms, then narrow the library by category or level. The seven families stay folded until you choose one.
Investing basicsThe building blocks of owning, saving and investing.26 guides
- What is a stock or share?beginner · 4 min
- Stocksbeginner · 3 min
- Bondsbeginner · 3 min
- Exchange-traded fundsbeginner · 3 min
- Mutual fundsbeginner · 3 min
- Index fundsbeginner · 3 min
- Active and passive investingbeginner · 3 min
- Dividendsbeginner · 3 min
- Compound returnsbeginner · 3 min
- Capital gains and lossesbeginner · 3 min
- Income and growth investingbeginner · 3 min
- What is a portfolio?beginner · 3 min
- Asset allocationbeginner · 3 min
- Portfolio rebalancingintermediate · 3 min
- Regular investingbeginner · 3 min
- Lump-sum investingbeginner · 3 min
- Investment time horizonbeginner · 3 min
- Risk tolerancebeginner · 3 min
- Investment objectivesbeginner · 3 min
- Investment fees and costsbeginner · 3 min
- Fund expense ratiosbeginner · 3 min
- Brokerage accountsbeginner · 3 min
- Stocks and shares ISAsbeginner · 3 min
- Pensions and long-term investingbeginner · 3 min
- Cash saving versus investingbeginner · 3 min
- Real and nominal returnsintermediate · 3 min
Understanding companiesHow businesses make money and how investors describe them.30 guides
- What is market capitalisation?beginner · 4 min
- What happens when a company reports earnings?beginner · 4 min
- Revenuebeginner · 3 min
- Profitbeginner · 3 min
- Gross profitbeginner · 3 min
- Operating profitintermediate · 3 min
- Profit marginsbeginner · 3 min
- Earnings per shareintermediate · 3 min
- What is a P/E ratio?beginner · 4 min
- What does valuation mean?beginner · 3 min
- Book valuebeginner · 3 min
- Price-to-book ratiointermediate · 3 min
- Enterprise valueintermediate · 3 min
- Free cash flowintermediate · 3 min
- Cash flowbeginner · 3 min
- The balance sheetbeginner · 3 min
- The income statementbeginner · 3 min
- Financial statementsbeginner · 3 min
- Assets and liabilitiesbeginner · 3 min
- Company debtbeginner · 3 min
- Return on equityintermediate · 3 min
- Return on invested capitalintermediate · 3 min
- Company guidancebeginner · 3 min
- Analyst estimatesbeginner · 3 min
- Earnings surprisesintermediate · 3 min
- Share buybacksintermediate · 3 min
- Share dilutionintermediate · 3 min
- Stock splitsbeginner · 3 min
- Competitive advantageintermediate · 3 min
- Cyclical and defensive companiesintermediate · 3 min
Markets & tradingWhat happens when prices move and trades meet in a market.32 guides
- What is the bid/ask spread?beginner · 4 min
- Market ordersbeginner · 3 min
- Limit ordersbeginner · 3 min
- Stop and stop-limit ordersintermediate · 3 min
- Market liquiditybeginner · 3 min
- Trading volumebeginner · 3 min
- Market depthintermediate · 3 min
- Pre-market tradingbeginner · 3 min
- After-hours tradingbeginner · 3 min
- The trading sessionbeginner · 3 min
- Before market open and after market closeintermediate · 4 min
- The market open and closebeginner · 3 min
- Market indicesbeginner · 3 min
- Sectors and industriesbeginner · 3 min
- Bull and bear marketsbeginner · 3 min
- Short sellingintermediate · 3 min
- Options basicsintermediate · 3 min
- Futures basicsintermediate · 3 min
- Initial public offeringsbeginner · 3 min
- Secondary share offeringsintermediate · 3 min
- Market makersintermediate · 3 min
- Price discoveryintermediate · 3 min
- Trading slippageintermediate · 3 min
- Transaction costsbeginner · 3 min
- Volatility halts and circuit breakersintermediate · 3 min
- Trade settlementbeginner · 3 min
- Corporate actionsbeginner · 3 min
- The ex-dividend datebeginner · 3 min
- Record and payment datesbeginner · 3 min
- Ticker symbolsbeginner · 3 min
- Primary and secondary marketsbeginner · 3 min
- Exchange-traded and over-the-counter marketsintermediate · 3 min
Risk & returnsHow gains, losses and uncertainty fit together.24 guides
- What does volatility actually mean?beginner · 4 min
- What is diversification?beginner · 4 min
- What does investment risk mean?beginner · 3 min
- Investment returnsbeginner · 3 min
- Expected valueintermediate · 3 min
- Risk and rewardbeginner · 3 min
- Drawdownsbeginner · 3 min
- Maximum drawdownintermediate · 3 min
- Correlation in a portfoliointermediate · 3 min
- Betaintermediate · 3 min
- Standard deviationintermediate · 3 min
- The Sharpe ratioadvanced · 3 min
- Downside riskintermediate · 3 min
- Concentration riskbeginner · 3 min
- Sequence-of-returns riskintermediate · 3 min
- Currency riskintermediate · 3 min
- Interest-rate riskintermediate · 3 min
- Credit riskbeginner · 3 min
- Inflation riskbeginner · 3 min
- Liquidity riskintermediate · 3 min
- Leverageintermediate · 3 min
- Trading on marginadvanced · 3 min
- Position sizingintermediate · 3 min
- Risk capacitybeginner · 3 min
Reading the evidencePlain-English statistics for judging patterns and claims.38 guides
- Why sample size mattersbeginner · 4 min
- A result needs a baselinebeginner · 4 min
- Uncertainty is part of the resultbeginner · 4 min
- Backtesting without time travelintermediate · 4 min
- Probabilitybeginner · 3 min
- Chance and randomnessbeginner · 3 min
- What is a p-value?intermediate · 4 min
- What does statistical significance mean?intermediate · 4 min
- What is a confidence interval?intermediate · 4 min
- False positivesbeginner · 3 min
- False negativesbeginner · 3 min
- Multiple testingintermediate · 3 min
- What is overfitting?intermediate · 4 min
- Look-ahead biasintermediate · 3 min
- Data snoopingintermediate · 3 min
- In-sample testingbeginner · 3 min
- What does out of sample mean?intermediate · 4 min
- Prospective testingintermediate · 3 min
- Correlation and causationintermediate · 3 min
- Survivorship biasintermediate · 3 min
- Selection biasintermediate · 3 min
- Publication biasintermediate · 3 min
- Confirmation biasbeginner · 3 min
- Regression to the meanintermediate · 3 min
- Independent observationsintermediate · 3 min
- Effect sizeintermediate · 3 min
- Statistical poweradvanced · 3 min
- Robustnessintermediate · 3 min
- Replicationintermediate · 3 min
- What is a hypothesis?beginner · 3 min
- Falsifiabilityintermediate · 3 min
- Signal and noisebeginner · 3 min
- Win rate and profitabilityintermediate · 3 min
- Mean, median and outliersbeginner · 3 min
- Reading a distributionbeginner · 3 min
- Sampling errorintermediate · 3 min
- Pre-registering a testintermediate · 3 min
- Data quality and missing informationintermediate · 3 min
Tradour explainedThe language and safeguards used in Tradour research.20 guides
- What is a Tradour directional feature?beginner · 4 min
- Displayed and raw directionintermediate · 3 min
- Indicator countbeginner · 3 min
- Rise/Drop strengthbeginner · 3 min
- Historical and prospective evidencebeginner · 3 min
- Prospective validationintermediate · 3 min
- The Tradour evidence lifecyclebeginner · 3 min
- What does Exploratory mean?beginner · 3 min
- What does Candidate mean?intermediate · 3 min
- What does Validated mean?intermediate · 3 min
- What is the Tradour Playbook?beginner · 3 min
- What is a canonical outcome?intermediate · 3 min
- What is a legacy outcome?intermediate · 3 min
- Why a zero move is Neutralbeginner · 3 min
- How to read a sector findingintermediate · 3 min
- How a finding becomes more credibleintermediate · 3 min
- What is a research cohort?beginner · 3 min
- Tradour publication gatesintermediate · 3 min
- Why Tradour keeps an audit trailbeginner · 3 min
- Why no current observation can be usefulbeginner · 3 min
Economy & contextThe wider forces that appear in market news and analysis.24 guides
- Inflationbeginner · 3 min
- Interest ratesbeginner · 3 min
- Central banksbeginner · 3 min
- Economic growthbeginner · 3 min
- Recessionsbeginner · 3 min
- Employment databeginner · 3 min
- The Consumer Prices Indexbeginner · 3 min
- Producer pricesintermediate · 3 min
- The yield curveintermediate · 3 min
- Bond yieldsbeginner · 3 min
- Government bondsbeginner · 3 min
- Corporate bondsintermediate · 3 min
- High-yield bondsintermediate · 3 min
- Credit spreadsadvanced · 3 min
- Monetary policyintermediate · 3 min
- Fiscal policyintermediate · 3 min
- Exchange ratesbeginner · 3 min
- Commoditiesbeginner · 3 min
- Emerging marketsintermediate · 3 min
- Earnings seasonbeginner · 3 min
- The economic calendarbeginner · 3 min
- Market sentimentintermediate · 3 min
- Hedge fundsintermediate · 3 min
- Cryptocurrency basicsbeginner · 3 min
