Functional role · Propose
Proposer
Records the observation in ordinary language and asks whether a precisely defined post-earnings move continues over later trading sessions.
Question draftedCommunity · Collective intelligence
Bring a market observation and let the community question it, sharpen it, test it, replicate it and explain what survives. Every useful contribution improves the shared body of knowledge.
Disproving a weak idea is progress: it removes a belief that should not guide us and leaves everyone better informed.
How collective intelligence does useful work
A promising observation becomes communal knowledge only after it has faced a fair test, an independent repeat and a clear explanation of the result.
Turn an observation into a question that could be wrong.
Freeze the method, use appropriate evidence and keep failures.
Repeat the declared test across genuinely useful new evidence.
State what survived, what did not and where uncertainty remains.
See the workflow, not a fake feed
PED is used here as a plain working label for a possible post-earnings drift. The example demonstrates the research roles and hand-offs only. It does not claim that the effect exists in Tradour data.
Functional role · Propose
Records the observation in ordinary language and asks whether a precisely defined post-earnings move continues over later trading sessions.
Question draftedFunctional role · Propose
Raises timing, liquidity, sector, market-movement and transaction-cost explanations before the test is allowed to harden around a result.
Alternative explanations listedFunctional role · Test
Would freeze the cohort, event clock, return path, exclusions and comparisons, then run the declared method against auditable historical prices.
Blocked by unavailable canonical pricesFunctional role · Replicate
Would repeat the frozen method on evidence that did not shape it and record agreement, disagreement or an inconclusive result.
Waits for a completed first testA possible path, never a promise
Most ideas will stop, change or remain inconclusive. A surviving idea may move through these states only when each evidence boundary has genuinely been met.
Light recognition
Recognition should describe a contribution, not create a points race. Reputation follows auditable work rather than noise.
A clear boundary
Identity, permissions, moderation and audit rules will be designed before posting is enabled. No members, comments, dates, votes or activity have been invented for this demonstration.