Prospective evidence

Where theory is put into practice.

See what happens after a rule is fixed. Live preserves what Tradour expected first, then records what genuinely happened next, including losses and difficult periods.

Historical evidence

What appeared to work before?

Explore past observations, their sample, uncertainty and limits.

Open Analysis

Prospective evidence

What happened after Tradour committed?

Compare the frozen expectation with the later result without rewriting the original idea.

No genuine record yet

Make it clickWhat makes a test genuinely prospective?

Prospective testing records a rule, inputs and expectation before future outcomes exist, then attaches those outcomes without rewriting the original record.

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Historical demonstration

Here’s what Live would have shown on 21 May 2026.

This is a historical reconstruction, not a live signal or broker record. The date was selected before considering whether the outcome was successful.

Historical · legacy outcomeTTWO · company name not supplied

Rule: Entertainment · opposite displayed direction
Expected: drop
Actual linked direction: Drop
Legacy linked move: -4.4%

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Expected versus actual

A working dashboard with the missing evidence left visible.

Outcome state · success

Known at the time

TTWO · AMC

Observation received: 21/05/2026, 08:01:03 UTC
Displayed direction: rise
Rule expectation: drop
Reference price: Unavailable · no authoritative price source

Recorded afterwards

The direction matched

Outcome source date: 7 August 2026
Linked PQ movement: -4.4%
Outcome price: Unavailable · no authoritative price source
Evaluation horizon: Later same-ticker source PQ value linked over 45-140 days; economic price horizon unresolved

30-minute candlesticks are unavailable.

No authoritative 30-minute OHLC source exists in the supplied material. The chart boundary is ready for exchange-local, correctly adjusted OHLC records; no candles are interpolated or invented here.

Selection rule: Latest complete legacy-reconstructable occurrence by effective date, then received timestamp, then declared rule priority and ticker. Result is not a selection input.

Strategy register

The record starts before the result

One clear register now, ready for more strategies later.

Not startedRecord not started

First prospective strategy

This space is reserved for the first Tradour strategy that earns a frozen Playbook rule and begins a genuine forward record.

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What Live promises

A record that cannot become kinder afterwards

Performance alone is not enough. A useful live record also keeps the reason for the test, the rule in force and the hard parts of the journey.

Expectations stay frozen

The prediction and measurement rule are recorded first.

Losses stay visible

Drawdowns and disappointing periods belong beside returns.

Rule changes make a new version

Old results remain attached to the rules that produced them.

Follow the reasoning

Move from result to evidence

Each part of Tradour answers a different question.

Historical and live evidence