Tradour explained
Rise/Drop strength is a source-provided feature describing the degree attached to a directional label under its own convention. Tradour does not treat it as calibrated probability.
Make it click
Turning up a speaker makes a message louder, not more accurate. Strength needs separate evidence showing how its levels relate to outcomes.
Now put that into markets
Historical observations can be grouped by strength bands and direction. Tradour preserves the original value and tests relationships rather than assuming monotonic improvement.
Versions, rounding and missing values belong in provenance. Combined searches with indicator count create many possible cells.
Display rate, sample, comparator and uncertainty across all relevant bands. Check whether a trend is stable rather than selecting one threshold.
Current historical strength alone is not monotonic with outcome. A 100% label is not a promise of a 100% event probability.
Takeaway
