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Risk & returns

How gains, losses and uncertainty fit together.

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01

Risk & returns

What does volatility actually mean?

Volatility describes how widely and quickly prices move, not whether an investment is good or bad.

02

Risk & returns

What is diversification?

Diversification spreads exposure so that one company, sector or risk does not decide the whole result.

03

Risk & returns

What does investment risk mean?

Investment risk is the possibility that outcomes differ from what is needed or expected, including permanent loss, shortfall, illiquidity and uncomfortable variation. No single number captures every form.

04

Risk & returns

Investment returns

Investment return is the change in value over a period, including relevant income and costs under a stated convention. The period, cash flows and currency determine the calculation.

05

Risk & returns

Expected value

Expected value is the probability-weighted average of possible outcomes under a model. It describes the long-run centre of that model, not what must happen next.

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Risk & returns

Risk and reward

Risk and reward describe the harmful and beneficial outcomes attached to a choice. A payoff ratio alone is incomplete because probability, frequency, path and estimation error also matter.

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Risk & returns

Drawdowns

A drawdown is the decline from a previous peak to a later value before a new peak is reached. It describes experienced loss from the high-water mark, not return from the original start.

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Risk & returns

Maximum drawdown

Maximum drawdown is the largest observed peak-to-trough percentage decline in a defined series and period. It is a single worst historical episode under that measurement.

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Risk & returns

Correlation in a portfolio

Correlation describes the direction and strength of linear co-movement between two return series. It ranges from minus one to plus one under a defined sample.

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Risk & returns

Beta

Beta estimates how an asset's returns have moved with a chosen market benchmark under a linear model. A beta above one indicates greater fitted sensitivity, not a guaranteed future multiple.

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Risk & returns

Standard deviation

Standard deviation measures how widely observations spread around their mean under a defined sample. For returns, it is commonly used as a volatility measure.

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Risk & returns

The Sharpe ratio

The Sharpe ratio divides average excess return by return volatility. It summarises reward per unit of measured variability under strong assumptions and a selected period.

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Risk & returns

Downside risk

Downside risk focuses on outcomes below a target, threshold or zero rather than treating all variation equally. Its meaning depends on the chosen boundary and measure.

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Risk & returns

Concentration risk

Concentration risk is dependence on a small number of holdings, factors, sectors, regions or counterparties. It can be hidden even when a portfolio contains many lines.

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Risk & returns

Sequence-of-returns risk

Sequence-of-returns risk is the effect of return order when money is added or withdrawn. The same average returns can produce different ending wealth when cash flows interact with losses.

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Risk & returns

Currency risk

Currency risk is the effect of exchange-rate changes on assets, liabilities or cash flows measured in another currency. Local asset return and home-currency return can differ sharply.

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Risk & returns

Interest-rate risk

Interest-rate risk is sensitivity to changes in market rates and discount rates. Fixed-rate bonds, indebted companies and long-dated cash flows can be especially affected.

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Risk & returns

Credit risk

Credit risk is the possibility that a borrower or counterparty fails to make promised payments in full and on time. Loss also depends on exposure and recovery after default.

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Risk & returns

Inflation risk

Inflation risk is the possibility that rising prices reduce the purchasing power of investment income or capital. Fixed nominal payments are especially exposed over long periods.

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Risk & returns

Liquidity risk

Liquidity risk is the chance that an asset cannot be sold, funded or valued promptly at a reasonable price when needed. It often appears most sharply during stress.

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Risk & returns

Leverage

Leverage uses borrowing or derivatives so gains and losses apply to exposure larger than the capital committed. It magnifies sensitivity and can create forced action.

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Risk & returns

Trading on margin

Margin trading uses broker credit and collateral to hold positions larger than available cash. Equity must remain above maintenance requirements or positions can be closed.

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Risk & returns

Position sizing

Position sizing decides how much capital or risk to allocate to one exposure. It shapes portfolio damage when the thesis, price path or execution goes wrong.

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Risk & returns

Risk capacity

Risk capacity is the financial ability to absorb loss or uncertainty without failing important obligations. It depends on resources, liabilities, horizon and flexibility rather than confidence.