Current Playbook pillar
Consumer Discretionary and the displayed direction
For records labelled Consumer Discretionary, this idea follows the source's displayed Rise or Drop direction.
Why it may matter
A pattern worth following forward.
The archive provides a large group for checking whether that displayed direction behaved differently from chance and whether narrower conditions deserve testing.
- Most recent occurrence
- 7 Aug 2026 · UAA
- Archive period
- 22 Nov 2022 – 7 Aug 2026
- Distinct tickers
- 69
The numbers in ordinary language
What the historical archive says
Every percentage keeps its sample beside it.
“Typical” is the median rule-aligned legacy PQ movement: the middle observation after ordering the evaluated linked values. It is not an independently calculated investment return.
Occurrences
The latest evidence records
| Date | Ticker | Sector / industry | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | UAA | Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods | rise | unevaluated |
| 7 Aug 2026 | UA | Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods | rise | unevaluated |
| 6 Aug 2026 | PENN | Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure | drop | unevaluated |
| 6 Aug 2026 | LEG | Household Durables | rise | unevaluated |
| 4 Aug 2026 | WYNN | Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure | rise | unevaluated |
| 4 Aug 2026 | MCD | Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure | rise | unevaluated |
| 4 Aug 2026 | BKNG | Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure | rise | unevaluated |
| 4 Aug 2026 | APTV | Auto Components | rise | unevaluated |
| 31 Jul 2026 | NWL | Household Durables | drop | unevaluated |
| 29 Jul 2026 | VFC | Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods | rise | unevaluated |
| 29 Jul 2026 | ORLY | Specialty Retail | rise | unevaluated |
| 28 Jul 2026 | CZR | Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure | drop | unevaluated |
Known limits
What this result cannot yet prove
- The broad historical rate is close to a fifty-fifty comparison.
- Narrower Rise and R/D cuts were inspected after seeing the archive.
- The available outcome is legacy reconstructed evidence, not a canonical price return.
Understand the evidence
Guides that explain this page
Make it clickWhy must the next test be fixed before the result?
Prospective testing records a rule, inputs and expectation before future outcomes exist, then attaches those outcomes without rewriting the original record.
Read the full guide